Sweden · Division 2 - Norrland · Norrland - Promotion Round17:30
SkellefteåWWDWW

17:30 UTC

Wednesday, 16 September 2026

TäfteåDWWWL

· Analysis updated 01:50 UTC

Skellefteå vs Täfteå Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.64 expected goals for Skellefteå and 1.28 for Täfteå, a combined total of 2.92. That distribution gives Skellefteå the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws roughly 54% of the time.

Model pick

Skellefteå to Win

45.8% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.64 – 1.28

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Skellefteå win46%
Draw24%
Täfteå win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

54%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Both teams to score58%

Correct score

  • 1–111.3%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–08.8%
  • 1–27.3%
  • 2–07.2%

Why the model likes this

  • Täfteå away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Skellefteå to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 24% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.64 goals for Skellefteå and 1.28 for Täfteå, a combined 2.92 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 56% and both teams to score at 58%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

Skellefteå

    Täfteå

    • 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Kubikenborg · 1-3 (L)
    • 2026-08-12T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Skellefteå · 0-2 (L)
    • 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Boden · 1-2 (L)
    • 2026-08-01T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Gottne · 3-1 (W)
    • 2026-07-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Umeå FC · 0-1 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.