· Analysis updated 02:47 UTC
Skellefteå vs Täfteå Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.64 expected goals for Skellefteå and 1.28 for Täfteå, a combined total of 2.92. That distribution gives Skellefteå the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws roughly 54% of the time.
Model pick
Skellefteå to Win
45.8% probability
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.28
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.3%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–08.8%
- 1–27.3%
- 2–07.2%
Why the model likes this
Täfteå away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Skellefteå to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 24% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.64 goals for Skellefteå and 1.28 for Täfteå, a combined 2.92 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 56% and both teams to score at 58%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Recent form
Skellefteå
Täfteå
- 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Kubikenborg · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-12T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Skellefteå · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Boden · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-01T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Gottne · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-07-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Umeå FC · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Division 2 - Norrland table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skellefteå | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 27 |
| 2 | Täfteå | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | IFK Luleå | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 25 |
| 4 | Boden | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 |
| 5 | Umeå FC Akademi | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -12 | 11 |
| 6 | Storfors | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -18 | 8 |
| 7 | IFK Umeå | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | -28 | 4 |
| 1 | Kubikenborg | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Gottne | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23 |
| 3 | Lucksta | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 18 |
| 4 | IFK Östersund | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 |
| 5 | Friska Viljor | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Umea FF | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 7 | Fransta | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -15 | 9 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.