· Analysis updated 03:53 UTC
Sozopol vs Sayana Haskovo Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.67 expected goals for Sozopol and 2.11 for Sayana Haskovo, a combined total of 3.77. That distribution gives Sayana Haskovo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws roughly 52% of the time.
Model pick
Sayana Haskovo to Win
48.2% probability
Expected goals
1.67 – 2.11
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
52%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
69%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.5%
- 1–18.1%
- 2–27.1%
- 2–16.7%
- 1–36.0%
Why the model likes this
Sozopol home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 1 of the last 6 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sayana Haskovo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 31% / 21% / 48% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.67 goals for Sozopol and 2.11 for Sayana Haskovo, a combined 3.77 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
Sozopol
- 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Plovdiv · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-05-27T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Rakovski 2011 · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sekirovo Rakovski · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Sayana Haskovo · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-05-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv II · 0-0 (D)
Sayana Haskovo
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · Sozopol 1-0 Sayana Haskovo (Third League - Southeast)
- 2025-11-15T12:30:00.000Z · Sozopol 0-2 Sayana Haskovo (Third League - Southeast)
- 2025-03-29T14:00:00.000Z · Sozopol 2-0 Sayana Haskovo (Third League - Southeast)
- 2024-09-14T15:00:00.000Z · Sozopol 0-1 Sayana Haskovo (Third League - Southeast)
- 2024-04-27T15:00:00.000Z · Sozopol 0-1 Sayana Haskovo (Third League - Southeast)
- 2023-10-14T13:00:00.000Z · Sozopol 1-1 Sayana Haskovo (Third League - Southeast)
Third League - Southeast table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodopa Smolyan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Spartak Plovdiv | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Levski Krumovgrad | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Maritsa Milevo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Yambol 1915 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Sayana Haskovo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Botev Plovdiv II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Atletik Kuklen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Rozova dolina | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | Neftochimic Burgas | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 12 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 | Zagorets | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 | Dimitrovgrad | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Gigant Saedinenie | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Sozopol | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Levski Karlovo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.