Sozopol vs Sayana Haskovo Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.38 expected goals for Sozopol and 0.96 for Sayana Haskovo, a combined total of 2.34. That distribution gives Sozopol the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws roughly 54% of the time.

Model pick

Sozopol to Win

46.5% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.38 – 0.96

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Sozopol win47%

Draw27%

Sayana Haskovo win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

54%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals68%

Over 2.5 goals42%

Over 3.5 goals21%

Both teams to score46%

Correct score

1–013.3%
1–112.8%
0–09.6%
0–19.2%
2–09.1%

Why the model likes this

Sozopol home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 1 of the last 6 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sozopol to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 27% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.38 goals for Sozopol and 0.96 for Sayana Haskovo, a combined 2.34 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Recent form

Sozopol

2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Plovdiv · 3-4 (L)
2026-05-27T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Rakovski 2011 · 4-1 (W)
2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sekirovo Rakovski · 1-0 (W)
2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Sayana Haskovo · 1-0 (W)
2026-05-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv II · 0-0 (D)

Sayana Haskovo

Head-to-head

2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · Sozopol 1-0 Sayana Haskovo (Third League - Southeast)
2025-11-15T12:30:00.000Z · Sozopol 0-2 Sayana Haskovo (Third League - Southeast)
2025-03-29T14:00:00.000Z · Sozopol 2-0 Sayana Haskovo (Third League - Southeast)
2024-09-14T15:00:00.000Z · Sozopol 0-1 Sayana Haskovo (Third League - Southeast)
2024-04-27T15:00:00.000Z · Sozopol 0-1 Sayana Haskovo (Third League - Southeast)
2023-10-14T13:00:00.000Z · Sozopol 1-1 Sayana Haskovo (Third League - Southeast)

Third League - Southeast table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nesebar	36	29	4	3	94	91
2	Maritsa Plovdiv	36	23	6	7	50	75
3	Neftochimic Burgas	36	19	9	8	14	66
4	Yambol 1915	36	20	6	10	31	66
5	Levski Karlovo	36	20	5	11	11	65
6	Maritsa Milevo	36	17	9	10	32	60
7	Spartak Plovdiv	36	15	9	12	6	54
8	Sozopol	36	16	6	14	12	54
9	Sayana Haskovo	36	15	7	14	4	52
10	Zagorets	36	13	10	13	-8	49
11	Rozova dolina	36	14	6	16	-7	48
12	Gigant Saedinenie	36	14	5	17	-3	47
13	Rodopa Smolyan	36	14	4	18	-19	46
14	Atletik Kuklen	36	13	3	20	-35	42
15	Sekirovo Rakovski	36	9	8	19	-23	35
16	Dimitrovgrad	36	10	5	21	-40	35
17	Lokomotiv Plovdiv II	36	9	6	21	-9	33
18	Rakovski 2011	36	8	3	25	-48	27
19	Asenovets	36	6	5	25	-62	23

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.