Świt Skolwin vs Olimpia Grudziądz Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.60 expected goals for Świt Skolwin and 1.92 for Olimpia Grudziądz, a combined total of 3.52. That distribution gives Olimpia Grudziądz the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws roughly 54% of the time.

Model pick

Olimpia Grudziądz to Win

45.7% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.60 – 1.92

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Świt Skolwin win32%

Draw22%

Olimpia Grudziądz win46%

Double chance 1X

54%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

68%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%

Over 2.5 goals68%

Over 3.5 goals47%

Both teams to score68%

Correct score

1–19.1%
1–28.7%
2–17.3%
2–27.0%
0–15.7%

Why the model likes this

Świt Skolwin home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Olimpia Grudziądz away threat
Scored in 7 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 9 meetings.

Recent form

Świt Skolwin

2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Legia Warszawa II · 0-5 (L)
2026-08-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Olimpia Grudziądz · 3-5 (L)
2026-08-01T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Hutnik Kraków · 0-3 (L)
2026-07-25T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Górnik Łęczna · 2-3 (L)

Olimpia Grudziądz

2026-08-09T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Tychy 71 · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-05T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Świt Skolwin · 5-3 (W)
2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Lechia Zielona Góra · 2-2 (D)
2026-07-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Avia Świdnik · 1-4 (L)
2026-07-18T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Polonia Środa · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-08-05T15:00:00.000Z · Świt Skolwin 3-5 Olimpia Grudziądz (Cup)
2026-05-30T12:30:00.000Z · Świt Skolwin 0-1 Olimpia Grudziądz (II Liga - East)
2025-11-15T15:00:00.000Z · Świt Skolwin 1-1 Olimpia Grudziądz (II Liga - East)
2025-05-10T15:30:00.000Z · Świt Skolwin 3-1 Olimpia Grudziądz (II Liga - East)
2024-10-12T15:00:00.000Z · Świt Skolwin 2-2 Olimpia Grudziądz (II Liga - East)
2023-03-11T14:30:00.000Z · Świt Skolwin 0-3 Olimpia Grudziądz (III Liga - Group 2)
2022-08-12T16:00:00.000Z · Świt Skolwin 0-2 Olimpia Grudziądz (III Liga - Group 2)
2022-06-18T15:00:00.000Z · Świt Skolwin 1-0 Olimpia Grudziądz (III Liga - Group 2)
2021-11-13T12:00:00.000Z · Świt Skolwin 1-1 Olimpia Grudziądz (III Liga - Group 2)

II Liga - East table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Unia Skierniewice	34	21	5	8	24	68
2	Warta Poznań	34	17	13	4	20	64
3	Olimpia Grudziądz	34	18	10	6	27	64
4	Podbeskidzie	34	17	7	10	21	58
5	Śląsk Wrocław II	34	16	7	11	16	55
6	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	34	14	13	7	14	55
7	Podhale Nowy Targ	34	13	14	7	11	53
8	Chojniczanka Chojnice	34	14	10	10	11	52
9	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	34	12	10	12	-3	46
10	Stal Stalowa Wola	34	10	16	8	13	46
11	Hutnik Kraków	34	12	10	12	7	46
12	Świt Skolwin	34	12	8	14	-8	44
13	Resovia Rzeszów	34	10	12	12	1	42
14	Sokół Kleczew	34	10	7	17	-15	37
15	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	34	9	7	18	-24	34
16	Kalisz	34	8	10	16	-18	34
17	ŁKS Łódź II	34	5	10	19	-31	25
18	Jastrzębie	34	0	7	27	-66	6

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.