Stadion Miejski Skolwin · Analysis updated 03:46 UTC
Świt Skolwin vs Olimpia Grudziądz Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.46 expected goals for Świt Skolwin and 1.92 for Olimpia Grudziądz, a combined total of 3.37. That distribution gives Olimpia Grudziądz the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws roughly 52% of the time.
Model pick
Olimpia Grudziądz to Win
48.4% probability
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.92
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
52%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
71%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.6%
- 1–29.2%
- 2–17.0%
- 2–26.7%
- 0–16.6%
Why the model likes this
Olimpia Grudziądz away threat
Scored in 7 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Olimpia Grudziądz to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 29% / 22% / 48% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.46 goals for Świt Skolwin and 1.92 for Olimpia Grudziądz, a combined 3.37 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 66% and both teams to score at 65%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Recent form
Świt Skolwin
Olimpia Grudziądz
- 2026-08-09T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Tychy 71 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-05T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Świt Skolwin · 5-3 (W)
- 2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Lechia Zielona Góra · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Avia Świdnik · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-07-18T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Polonia Środa · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
II Liga - East table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Świdnik | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Znicz Pruszków | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Tychy 71 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Hutnik Kraków | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 |
| 5 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Śląsk Wrocław II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Górnik Łęczna | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| 10 | Sokół Kleczew | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 4 |
| 13 | Legia Warszawa II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Chojniczanka Chojnice | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | Olimpia Grudziądz | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | 2 |
| 17 | Resovia Rzeszów | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 1 |
| 18 | Świt Skolwin | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.