Turnov vs Hlinsko Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.42 expected goals for Turnov and 1.77 for Hlinsko, a combined total of 4.20. That distribution gives Turnov the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws roughly 48% of the time.

Model pick

Turnov to Win

52.4% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

2.42 – 1.77

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Turnov win52%

Draw19%

Hlinsko win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

48%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%

Over 2.5 goals79%

Over 3.5 goals60%

Both teams to score76%

Correct score

2–17.8%
2–26.9%
1–16.5%
3–16.3%
1–25.7%

Why the model likes this

Hlinsko away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Turnov to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 19% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.42 goals for Turnov and 1.77 for Hlinsko, a combined 4.20 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Turnov

Hlinsko

2026-08-15T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Dvůr Králové · 3-2 (W)
2026-08-08T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Kolín · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-01T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Hermanuv Mestec · 0-3 (L)
2026-07-25T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Ústí nad Orlicí · 2-4 (L)
2026-06-13T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Brandýs nad Labem · 0-7 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-05-24T15:00:00.000Z · Turnov 4-0 Hlinsko (4. liga - Divizie C)
2025-10-25T08:30:00.000Z · Turnov 1-7 Hlinsko (4. liga - Divizie C)
2025-04-13T14:30:00.000Z · Turnov 1-1 Hlinsko (4. liga - Divizie C)
2024-09-25T14:30:00.000Z · Turnov 2-0 Hlinsko (4. liga - Divizie C)
2024-03-29T15:00:00.000Z · Turnov 0-0 Hlinsko (4. liga - Divizie C)
2023-09-03T15:00:00.000Z · Turnov 2-1 Hlinsko (4. liga - Divizie C)
2023-04-07T14:30:00.000Z · Turnov 4-1 Hlinsko (4. liga - Divizie C)
2022-09-11T15:00:00.000Z · Turnov 1-3 Hlinsko (4. liga - Divizie C)

4. liga - Divizie C table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Čáslav	29	20	3	6	37	63
2	Horní Ředice	29	19	2	8	32	59
3	Vysoké Mýto	29	17	7	5	30	58
4	Přepeře	29	17	3	8	22	55
5	Turnov	29	15	6	8	13	51
6	Kosmonosy	29	14	7	8	19	49
7	Trutnov	29	14	5	10	8	47
8	Chlumec nad Cidlinou	29	12	5	12	2	41
9	Spartak Police n/Metují	28	10	8	10	-11	38
10	Hlinsko	28	11	2	14	-1	35
11	Brandýs nad Labem	29	7	13	9	-10	34
12	Chrudim II	29	9	6	14	-13	33
13	Svitavy	29	8	7	14	-25	31
14	Slovan Hrádek nad Nisou	29	6	5	18	-23	23
15	Náchod	29	4	5	20	-27	17
16	Dobrovice	29	4	4	21	-50	16

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.