Turnov vs Hlinsko Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.02 expected goals for Turnov and 2.03 for Hlinsko, a combined total of 5.05. That distribution gives Turnov the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 88% for over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score, with 3–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws roughly 42% of the time.

Model pick

Turnov to Win

58.3% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

3.02 – 2.03

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Turnov win58%

Draw17%

Hlinsko win25%

Double chance 1X

75%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

42%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals96%

Over 2.5 goals88%

Over 3.5 goals74%

Both teams to score82%

Correct score

3–26.1%
2–26.0%
3–16.0%
2–15.9%
4–24.6%

Why the model likes this

Hlinsko away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Turnov to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 17% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.02 goals for Turnov and 2.03 for Hlinsko, a combined 5.05 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 88% and both teams to score at 82%, with 3–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%.

Recent form

Turnov

Hlinsko

2026-08-15T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Dvůr Králové · 3-2 (W)
2026-08-08T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Kolín · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-01T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Hermanuv Mestec · 0-3 (L)
2026-07-25T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Ústí nad Orlicí · 2-4 (L)
2026-06-13T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Brandýs nad Labem · 0-7 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

4. liga - Divizie C table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Čáslav	29	20	3	6	37	63
2	Horní Ředice	29	19	2	8	32	59
3	Vysoké Mýto	29	17	7	5	30	58
4	Přepeře	29	17	3	8	22	55
5	Turnov	29	15	6	8	13	51
6	Kosmonosy	29	14	7	8	19	49
7	Trutnov	29	14	5	10	8	47
8	Chlumec nad Cidlinou	29	12	5	12	2	41
9	Spartak Police n/Metují	28	10	8	10	-11	38
10	Hlinsko	28	11	2	14	-1	35
11	Brandýs nad Labem	29	7	13	9	-10	34
12	Chrudim II	29	9	6	14	-13	33
13	Svitavy	29	8	7	14	-25	31
14	Slovan Hrádek nad Nisou	29	6	5	18	-23	23
15	Náchod	29	4	5	20	-27	17
16	Dobrovice	29	4	4	21	-50	16

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.