Žďár nad Sázavou vs Velká Bíteš Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.12 expected goals for Žďár nad Sázavou and 1.98 for Velká Bíteš, a combined total of 3.11. That distribution gives Velká Bíteš the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws roughly 43% of the time.

Model pick

Velká Bíteš to Win

57.4% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.12 – 1.98

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Žďár nad Sázavou win21%

Draw22%

Velká Bíteš win57%

Double chance 1X

43%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

79%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%

Over 2.5 goals60%

Over 3.5 goals38%

Both teams to score58%

Correct score

1–110.0%
1–29.9%
0–18.9%
0–28.8%
1–36.5%

Why the model likes this

Žďár nad Sázavou home form
1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Velká Bíteš away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Velká Bíteš to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 21% / 22% / 57% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.12 goals for Žďár nad Sázavou and 1.98 for Velká Bíteš, a combined 3.11 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Žďár nad Sázavou

2026-08-08T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Bystrc Kníničky · 3-2 (W)
2026-07-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Ráječko · 1-4 (L)
2026-06-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kuřim · 0-2 (L)
2026-06-05T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Znojmo · 1-10 (L)
2026-05-31T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Velká Bíteš · 1-3 (L)

Velká Bíteš

2026-08-15T14:30:00.000Z · A vs FS Třebíč · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Humpolec · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-09T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Tatran Bohunice · 0-4 (L)
2026-07-25T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Blansko · 1-1 (D)
2026-06-13T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Humpolec · 2-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

4. liga - Divizie D table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Líšeň II	29	22	4	3	65	70
2	Tatran Bohunice	30	18	6	6	17	60
3	Kuřim	29	16	7	6	30	55
4	Velká Bíteš	29	15	6	8	20	51
5	Znojmo	30	14	6	10	25	48
6	Velké Meziříčí	29	12	7	10	4	43
7	Pelhřimov	29	11	7	11	-12	40
8	Ždírec nad Doubravou	29	11	6	12	-11	39
9	Sokol Tasovice	29	10	7	12	-15	37
10	Žďár nad Sázavou	29	10	6	13	-20	36
11	Chotebor	29	10	4	15	-22	34
12	Sparta Brno	29	9	4	16	-3	31
13	Havlíčkův Brod	29	7	7	15	-9	28
14	Humpolec	29	8	4	17	-12	28
15	FS Třebíč	29	5	12	12	-25	27
16	Dálnice Speřice	29	7	3	19	-32	24

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.