· Analysis updated 03:50 UTC
Žďár nad Sázavou vs Velká Bíteš Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.17 expected goals for Žďár nad Sázavou and 1.20 for Velká Bíteš, a combined total of 3.37. That distribution gives Žďár nad Sázavou the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws roughly 41% of the time.
Model pick
Žďár nad Sázavou to Win
59.4% probability
Expected goals
2.17 – 1.20
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
80%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
41%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.7%
- 1–18.9%
- 2–08.1%
- 1–07.4%
- 3–17.0%
Why the model likes this
Velká Bíteš away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Žďár nad Sázavou to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 20% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.17 goals for Žďár nad Sázavou and 1.20 for Velká Bíteš, a combined 3.37 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 66% and both teams to score at 62%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Recent form
Žďár nad Sázavou
Velká Bíteš
- 2026-08-15T14:30:00.000Z · A vs FS Třebíč · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Humpolec · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-09T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Tatran Bohunice · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-07-25T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Blansko · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-06-13T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Humpolec · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie D table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tatran Bohunice | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| 2 | Znojmo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Kuřim | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
| 4 | Sokol Tasovice | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Žďár nad Sázavou | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Pelhřimov | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | FS Třebíč | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Velká Bíteš | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Humpolec | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Velké Meziříčí | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Bedrichov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Ždírec nad Doubravou | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 | Bystrc Kníničky | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Sparta Brno | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Havlíčkův Brod | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Chotebor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.