Yunist Stadium · Analysis updated 13:37 UTC
Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Prykarpattia Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.63 expected goals for Ahrobiznes Volochysk and 0.63 for Prykarpattia, a combined total of 2.25. That distribution gives Ahrobiznes Volochysk the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 39% for over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Ahrobiznes Volochysk win
61.7% probability
Expected goals
1.63 – 0.63
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Prykarpattia away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 9 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
86%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
38%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–017.1%
- 2–013.9%
- 1–110.7%
- 0–010.5%
- 2–18.7%
Recent form
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
- 2026-10-17T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Metal Kharkiv · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Inhulets · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T10:30:00.000Z · H vs UCSA · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-27T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Nyva Ternopil · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-20T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Oleksandria · 1-0 (W)
Prykarpattia
- 2026-10-24T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · A vs SK Poltava · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-10-11T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Chernihiv · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-03T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Metal Kharkiv · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Inhulets · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-23T10:00:00.000Z · Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1-1 Prykarpattia (Persha Liga)
- 2025-11-03T12:00:00.000Z · Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3-1 Prykarpattia (Persha Liga)
- 2024-10-19T11:00:00.000Z · Ahrobiznes Volochysk 0-1 Prykarpattia (Persha Liga)
- 2024-08-31T11:00:00.000Z · Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1-0 Prykarpattia (Persha Liga)
- 2023-11-24T10:00:00.000Z · Ahrobiznes Volochysk 0-2 Prykarpattia (Persha Liga)
- 2023-09-23T12:30:00.000Z · Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1-1 Prykarpattia (Persha Liga)
- 2021-10-12T12:30:00.000Z · Ahrobiznes Volochysk 0-0 Prykarpattia (Persha Liga)
- 2021-05-07T13:00:00.000Z · Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1-2 Prykarpattia (Persha Liga)
- 2020-10-31T12:00:00.000Z · Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3-0 Prykarpattia (Persha Liga)
Persha Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 25 |
| 2 | SK Poltava | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 24 |
| 3 | Yarud Mariupol' | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 24 |
| 4 | Oleksandria | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 23 |
| 5 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Kulykiv | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 21 |
| 7 | Nyva Ternopil | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | Inhulets | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 17 |
| 10 | Prykarpattia | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Metal Kharkiv | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | UCSA | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -10 | 13 |
| 14 | Chernihiv | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Probiy Horodenka | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -20 | 9 |
| 16 | Polissya II | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -9 | 8 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Ahrobiznes Volochysk win, at 61.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 37% and over 2.5 goals at 39%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.