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Thursday, 23 July 2026

FFA Academy Stadium · Referee E. Hamiti · Analysis updated 10:07 UTC

Alashkert vs CFR 1907 Cluj Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.76 expected goals for Alashkert and 1.14 for CFR 1907 Cluj, a combined total of 2.90. That distribution gives Alashkert the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Alashkert win

51.9% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.76 – 1.14

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Alashkert win52%
Draw24%
CFR 1907 Cluj win25%

Double chance 1X

75%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

48%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Both teams to score56%

Correct score

  • 1–111.0%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 2–08.5%
  • 1–26.3%

Why the model likes this

  • Alashkert home form

    11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • CFR 1907 Cluj away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Alashkert to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 24% / 25% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.76 goals for Alashkert and 1.14 for CFR 1907 Cluj, a combined 2.90 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Alashkert

  • 2026-08-10T16:00:00.000Z · H vs BKMA · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-03T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Ararat · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-30T18:30:00.000Z · A vs CFR 1907 Cluj · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-07-23T15:00:00.000Z · H vs CFR 1907 Cluj · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-16T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Yelimay Semey · 1-1 (D)

CFR 1907 Cluj

  • 2026-08-16T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Corvinul Hunedoara · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-13T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Tromso · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-06T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Tromso · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-02T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Rapid · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-07-30T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Alashkert · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.