· Analysis updated 13:31 UTC
Alemannia Aachen U19 vs Saarbrücken U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.47 expected goals for Alemannia Aachen U19 and 1.83 for Saarbrücken U19, a combined total of 5.30. That distribution gives Alemannia Aachen U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 69%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 89% for over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 69% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Alemannia Aachen U19 win
68.7% probability
Expected goals
3.47 – 1.83
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Alemannia Aachen U19 home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Saarbrücken U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Alemannia Aachen U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 69%, against 69% / 14% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.47 goals for Alemannia Aachen U19 and 1.83 for Saarbrücken U19, a combined 5.30 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
31%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–16.4%
- 3–25.8%
- 4–15.5%
- 2–15.5%
- 4–25.1%
Recent form
Alemannia Aachen U19
- 2026-09-11T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Köln U19 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Saarbrücken U19 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia M'bach U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-19T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Elversberg U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-15T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Bochum U19 · 1-5 (L)
Saarbrücken U19
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Bochum U19 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Alemannia Aachen U19 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-23T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Bayer Leverkusen U19 · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-08-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Köln U19 · 0-9 (L)
- 2026-08-09T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Borussia M'bach U19 · 0-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Alemannia Aachen U19 win, at 68.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 81% and over 2.5 goals at 89%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.