Amiens vs Quevilly Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.44 expected goals for Amiens and 0.91 for Quevilly, a combined total of 2.35. That distribution gives Amiens the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Amiens win

49.3% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.44 – 0.91

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Amiens win49%

Draw27%

Quevilly win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

51%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals68%

Over 2.5 goals42%

Over 3.5 goals21%

Both teams to score46%

Correct score

1–013.7%
1–112.5%
2–09.9%
0–09.5%
2–19.0%

Why the model likes this

Amiens home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Quevilly away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Amiens to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 27% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.44 goals for Amiens and 0.91 for Quevilly, a combined 2.35 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Recent form

Amiens

2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs La Roche VF · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-07T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Fleury 91 · 0-0 (D)
2026-07-31T16:00:00.000Z · H vs RED Star FC 93 · 3-1 (W)
2026-07-31T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Chambly Thelle FC · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Kortrijk · 1-1 (D)

Quevilly

2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Concarneau · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-07T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Gobelins · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Oissel · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Avranches · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-22T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Clermont Foot · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.