Angers vs Nice Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Angers and 1.37 for Nice, a combined total of 2.85. That distribution gives Angers the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws roughly 60% of the time.

Model pick

Angers or Draw

64.9% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.37

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Angers win40%

Draw25%

Nice win35%

Double chance 1X

65%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

60%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%

Over 2.5 goals54%

Over 3.5 goals32%

Both teams to score58%

Correct score

1–111.7%
2–18.7%
1–08.5%
1–28.0%
0–17.9%

Why the model likes this

Angers home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Nice away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Angers to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 25% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Angers and 1.37 for Nice, a combined 2.85 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Angers

2026-08-15T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Paris FC · 3-2 (W)
2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Lorient · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-01T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Le Mans · 2-3 (L)
2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Creteil · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-22T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Les Herbiers · 3-1 (W)

Nice

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hull City · 0-0 (D)
2026-08-08T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Cagliari · 0-0 (D)
2026-07-31T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Juventus · 0-2 (L)
2026-07-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Marseille · 3-0 (W)
2026-07-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Nimes · 4-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Ligue 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Auxerre	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Angers	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Stade Brestois 29	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Lorient	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Le Havre	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Le Mans	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Lille	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Nice	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lyon	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Marseille	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Paris FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Paris Saint Germain	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Lens	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Rennes	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Strasbourg	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Toulouse	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Estac Troyes	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.