Apollon Limassol vs Dila Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.62 expected goals for Apollon Limassol and 0.87 for Dila, a combined total of 2.49. That distribution gives Apollon Limassol the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Apollon Limassol win

55.1% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.62 – 0.87

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Apollon Limassol win55%

Draw25%

Dila win20%

Double chance 1X

80%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

45%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals71%

Over 2.5 goals46%

Over 3.5 goals24%

Both teams to score47%

Correct score

1–013.4%
1–111.7%
2–010.8%
2–19.5%
0–08.2%

Why the model likes this

Apollon Limassol home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Dila away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Apollon Limassol to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 25% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.62 goals for Apollon Limassol and 0.87 for Dila, a combined 2.49 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Recent form

Apollon Limassol

2026-08-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Brann · 2-4 (L)
2026-08-05T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Brann · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-28T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Dila · 3-0 (W)
2026-07-23T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Dila · 4-0 (W)
2026-07-16T16:30:00.000Z · H vs AEK Larnaca · 0-0 (D)

Dila

2026-08-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Gori · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-28T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Apollon Limassol · 0-3 (L)
2026-07-25T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Iberia 2010 · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-23T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Apollon Limassol · 0-4 (L)
2026-07-16T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Virtus · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.