Barendrecht vs Hoek Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.32 expected goals for Barendrecht and 2.38 for Hoek, a combined total of 3.70. That distribution gives Hoek the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws roughly 39% of the time.

Model pick

Hoek to Win

60.7% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.32 – 2.38

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Barendrecht win20%

Draw19%

Hoek win61%

Double chance 1X

39%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

80%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%

Over 2.5 goals71%

Over 3.5 goals51%

Both teams to score67%

Correct score

1–29.2%
1–17.8%
1–37.3%
0–27.0%
2–26.1%

Why the model likes this

Barendrecht home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hoek away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hoek to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 20% / 19% / 61% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.32 goals for Barendrecht and 2.38 for Hoek, a combined 3.70 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Barendrecht

2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs HHC · 1-3 (L)
2026-05-23T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Excelsior Maassluis · 1-2 (L)
2026-05-16T13:30:00.000Z · A vs RKAV Volendam · 2-5 (L)
2026-05-09T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Hoek · 4-2 (W)
2026-04-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Rotterdam II · 1-4 (L)

Hoek

2026-08-15T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Koninklijke HFC · 3-1 (W)
2026-07-15T17:00:00.000Z · H vs NAC Breda · 1-2 (L)
2026-05-23T13:30:00.000Z · A vs De Treffers · 2-2 (D)
2026-05-16T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Rijnsburgse Boys · 2-0 (W)
2026-05-09T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Barendrecht · 2-4 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.