Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona · Referee S. Zunino · Analysis updated 22:01 UTC
Barracas Central vs Huracan Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.02 expected goals for Barracas Central and 1.03 for Huracan, a combined total of 2.05. That distribution gives Huracan the largest share of the 1X2 market at 35%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 34% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 35% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
65.4% probability
Expected goals
1.02 – 1.03
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
70%
Double chance X2
65%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.5%
- 0–113.3%
- 1–013.2%
- 0–012.9%
- 1–26.9%
Why the model likes this
Barracas Central home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Huracan away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Huracan to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 35%, against 35% / 30% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.02 goals for Barracas Central and 1.03 for Huracan, a combined 2.05 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Recent form
Barracas Central
- 2026-08-09T20:45:00.000Z · A vs Gimnasia L.P. · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-02T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Deportivo Riestra · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-29T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Aldosivi · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-25T22:15:00.000Z · A vs River Plate · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-06-03T00:10:00.000Z · H vs Huracan · 1-0 (W)
Huracan
- 2026-08-09T18:00:00.000Z · A vs San Lorenzo · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-04T00:15:00.000Z · H vs Atletico Tucuman · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-30T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Independ. Rivadavia · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-25T00:15:00.000Z · H vs Banfield · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-06-03T00:10:00.000Z · A vs Barracas Central · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.