Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for Bodo/Glimt and 1.75 for NEC Nijmegen, a combined total of 3.50. That distribution gives Bodo/Glimt the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws roughly 61% of the time.

Model pick

Bodo/Glimt or Draw

61.2% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.75 – 1.75

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Bodo/Glimt win39%

Draw22%

NEC Nijmegen win39%

Double chance 1X

61%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

61%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%

Over 2.5 goals68%

Over 3.5 goals46%

Both teams to score68%

Correct score

1–19.2%
1–28.1%
2–18.1%
2–27.1%
0–15.3%

Why the model likes this

Bodo/Glimt home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bodo/Glimt to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 22% / 39% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.75 goals for Bodo/Glimt and 1.75 for NEC Nijmegen, a combined 3.50 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 68% and both teams to score at 68%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Bodo/Glimt

2026-08-11T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Union St. Gilloise · 3-2 (W)
2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Valerenga · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-04T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Union St. Gilloise · 3-3 (D)
2026-07-31T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Lillestrom · 4-0 (W)
2026-07-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandefjord · 3-0 (W)

NEC Nijmegen

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.