Bradford vs Bolton Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.35 expected goals for Bradford and 1.33 for Bolton, a combined total of 2.68. That distribution gives Bradford the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

63.6% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.33

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Bradford win38%

Draw26%

Bolton win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals75%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.3%
1–09.3%
0–19.1%
2–18.3%
1–28.2%

Why the model likes this

Bolton away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bradford to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 26% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.35 goals for Bradford and 1.33 for Bolton, a combined 2.68 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Bradford

Bolton

2026-08-15T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Preston · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sheffield Wednesday · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · H vs NAC Breda · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-28T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Fleetwood Town · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Everton · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.