Stadion Wankdorf · Referee A. Kanagasingam · Analysis updated 09:09 UTC
BSC Young Boys vs FC Sion Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.07 expected goals for BSC Young Boys and 1.79 for FC Sion, a combined total of 4.86. That distribution gives BSC Young Boys the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
BSC Young Boys win
63.4% probability
Expected goals
3.07 – 1.79
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
80%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
37%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–16.7%
- 2–16.5%
- 3–26.0%
- 2–25.9%
- 4–15.1%
Why the model likes this
FC Sion away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates BSC Young Boys to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 16% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.07 goals for BSC Young Boys and 1.79 for FC Sion, a combined 4.86 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 86% and both teams to score at 79%, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.
Recent form
BSC Young Boys
FC Sion
- 2026-08-13T18:15:00.000Z · H vs FC Noah · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-09T14:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Vaduz · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-06T16:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Noah · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-02T14:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Luzern · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-07-30T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Bate Borisov · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lugano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | BSC Young Boys | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 |
| 3 | FC ST. Gallen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | FC Sion | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | FC Basel 1893 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Lausanne | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Servette FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Zurich | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Thun | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 3 |
| 10 | Grasshoppers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 11 | FC Luzern | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 12 | FC Vaduz | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.