Čarda Martjanci vs Limbuš Pekre Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.25 expected goals for Čarda Martjanci and 1.10 for Limbuš Pekre, a combined total of 4.35. That distribution gives Čarda Martjanci the largest share of the 1X2 market at 79%, with the draw at 12%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 79% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Čarda Martjanci win

78.7% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

3.25 – 1.10

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Čarda Martjanci home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Čarda Martjanci to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 79%, against 79% / 12% / 9% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.25 goals for Čarda Martjanci and 1.10 for Limbuš Pekre, a combined 4.35 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 80% and both teams to score at 64%, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Match result (1X2)

Čarda Martjanci win79%

Draw12%

Limbuš Pekre win9%

Double chance 1X

91%

Double chance 12

88%

Double chance X2

21%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%

Over 2.5 goals80%

Over 3.5 goals63%

Both teams to score64%

Correct score

3–18.1%
2–17.5%
3–07.4%
2–06.8%
4–16.6%

Recent form

Čarda Martjanci

2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Videm · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Rače · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-12T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Šmartno · 7-1 (W)
2026-09-04T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Korotan Prevalje · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-30T15:00:00.000Z · H vs NK Ormoz · 1-3 (L)

Limbuš Pekre

2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Rače · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Šmartno · 0-4 (L)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Korotan Prevalje · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs NK Ormoz · 0-4 (L)
2026-09-12T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Hajdina · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. SNL - East table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Odranci	9	7	2	0	16	23
2	Fužinar	9	6	1	2	11	19
3	Šmartno	9	5	1	3	4	16
4	NK Ormoz	9	5	1	3	4	16
5	Hajdina	10	4	4	2	3	16
6	Čarda Martjanci	9	4	3	2	7	15
7	Videm	10	4	2	4	-2	14
8	Podvinci	10	4	2	4	-4	14
9	Korotan Prevalje	9	2	5	2	1	11
10	Rače	9	2	4	3	0	10
11	Dobrovce	9	3	0	6	-11	9
12	Ljutomer	10	2	2	6	-4	8
13	Limbuš Pekre	9	1	2	6	-15	5
14	Šampion Celje	9	1	1	7	-10	4

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Čarda Martjanci win, at 78.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 80%.

A 79% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.