World · UEFA Europa Conference League · Qualifying18:30

30

Thursday, 30 July 2026

Dr. Constantin Radulescu · Referee V. Thorarinsson · Analysis updated 10:07 UTC

CFR 1907 Cluj vs Alashkert Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.33 expected goals for CFR 1907 Cluj and 1.68 for Alashkert, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives Alashkert the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Alashkert win

45.7% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.33 – 1.68

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

CFR 1907 Cluj win30%
Draw24%
Alashkert win46%

Double chance 1X

54%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

70%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams to score60%

Correct score

  • 1–111.0%
  • 1–29.3%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–17.3%
  • 0–27.0%

Why the model likes this

  • CFR 1907 Cluj home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Alashkert away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Alashkert to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 30% / 24% / 46% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.33 goals for CFR 1907 Cluj and 1.68 for Alashkert, a combined 3.00 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

CFR 1907 Cluj

  • 2026-08-16T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Corvinul Hunedoara · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-13T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Tromso · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-06T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Tromso · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-02T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Rapid · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-07-30T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Alashkert · 3-0 (W)

Alashkert

  • 2026-08-10T16:00:00.000Z · H vs BKMA · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-03T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Ararat · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-30T18:30:00.000Z · A vs CFR 1907 Cluj · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-07-23T15:00:00.000Z · H vs CFR 1907 Cluj · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-16T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Yelimay Semey · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-07-30T18:30:00.000Z · CFR 1907 Cluj 3-0 Alashkert (UEFA Europa Conference League)
  • 2026-07-23T15:00:00.000Z · CFR 1907 Cluj 1-1 Alashkert (UEFA Europa Conference League)
  • 2018-08-16T17:00:00.000Z · CFR 1907 Cluj 5-0 Alashkert (UEFA Europa League)
  • 2018-08-09T16:00:00.000Z · CFR 1907 Cluj 2-0 Alashkert (UEFA Europa League)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.