France · Ligue 3 · Matchweek 3217:30

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Thursday, 30 April 2026

Stade Guy Piriou · Analysis updated 09:07 UTC

Concarneau vs Gobelins Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Concarneau vs Gobelins in the Ligue 3: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.8% probability

Baseline estimate10/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Concarneau win44%
Draw26%
Gobelins win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Gobelins away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 7 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Concarneau to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Concarneau and 1.18 for Gobelins, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Why this is a baseline estimate

    No fixture-specific data was available for Concarneau or Gobelins yet, so these numbers are a Ligue 3 scoring average with standard home advantage rather than a rated model pick. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and are replaced automatically as team data arrives.

Recent form

Concarneau

    Gobelins

    • 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Villefranche · 0-2 (L)
    • 2026-08-07T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Quevilly · 1-0 (W)
    • 2026-07-28T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Creteil · 2-2 (D)
    • 2026-07-18T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Orleans · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-07-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Caen · 4-3 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.