Ghana · Division One League · Matchweek 515:00

1 – 0

Sunday, 18 October 2026

· Analysis updated 09:01 UTC

Eleven Wonders vs Techiman Liberty Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.61 expected goals for Eleven Wonders and 0.91 for Techiman Liberty, a combined total of 1.52. That distribution gives Techiman Liberty the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 36%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 20% for over 2.5 goals and 27% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 22%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

76.7% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

0.61 – 0.91

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Eleven Wonders home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Techiman Liberty away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Techiman Liberty to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 23% / 36% / 41% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.61 goals for Eleven Wonders and 0.91 for Techiman Liberty, a combined 1.52 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Eleven Wonders win23%
Draw36%
Techiman Liberty win41%

Double chance 1X

59%

Double chance 12

64%

Double chance X2

77%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals45%
Over 2.5 goals20%
Over 3.5 goals7%
Both teams to score27%

Correct score

  • 0–021.8%
  • 0–119.9%
  • 1–013.3%
  • 1–112.1%
  • 0–29.1%

Recent form

Eleven Wonders

  • 2026-10-04T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Bectero Sasana · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs VC Warriors · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Mighty Royals · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-05-24T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Bibiani Gold Stars · 3-8 (L)
  • 2026-05-17T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Berekum Chelsea · 0-2 (L)

Techiman Liberty

  • 2026-10-18T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Eleven Wonders · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-11T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Mighty Royals · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-02T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Yapei · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-27T15:00:00.000Z · H vs KAC Soccer · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-21T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dormaa · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Division One League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ebusua Dwarfs5401312
1Koforidua54101113
1Sankara Nationals5410413
1VC Warriors5311510
2Nations5320411
2Inter Allies5320411
2Real Tamale5311410
2Mighty Royals5311510
3Pro-Sports Academy5311610
3Hakla SC523039
3Steadfast522138
3Techiman Liberty521217
4Ebony FC5311210
4Accra Lions522138
4Berekum City5212-17
4Yapei5212-17
5Soccer Intellectuals523029
5Okwawu522118
5Wa Power512205
5Bectero Sasana5212-17
6Nsuopun Fidelity522118
6WAFA5221-38
6Kalibi SC5122-55
6Dormaa5212-17
7Elmina Sharks522108
7Golden Kicks521227
7Tamale City5113-24
7Eleven Wonders5113-44
8Fettehman United514027
87th Wave514017
8Northern City5023-32
8KAC Soccer5113-44
9Skyy521217
9Nania521207
10Ebiemo FC5203-16
10Home Stars513116
11PAC Academy5122-15
11True Democracy5131-26
12Rospak5113-24
12Attram de Visser5122-25
13King Faisal5113-44
13Great Olympics5113-24
14Sefwi All Stars5032-23
14Nukunu5113-54
15Future Stars5104-73
15Kotoku Royals5023-52
16New Edubiase5014-41
16Golden Warriors5005-70

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 76.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 27% and over 2.5 goals at 20%.

A 77% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.