Estadi Municipal de Badalona · Referee A. Garcia · Analysis updated 16:18 UTC
FC Levante Badalona W vs Granada Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.59 expected goals for FC Levante Badalona W and 1.29 for Granada, a combined total of 2.88. That distribution gives FC Levante Badalona W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
68.9% probability
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.29
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
FC Levante Badalona W home form
3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Granada away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FC Levante Badalona W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 25% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.59 goals for FC Levante Badalona W and 1.29 for Granada, a combined 2.88 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
56%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.5%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–08.9%
- 1–27.4%
- 0–17.3%
Recent form
FC Levante Badalona W
- 2026-09-13T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Eibar W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Espanyol W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-30T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Athletic Club W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-31T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Levante W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-05-26T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Real Madrid W · 0-4 (L)
Granada
- 2026-08-29T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Madrid CFF W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-31T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Real Madrid W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-05-26T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Madrid CFF W · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-05-09T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Real Sociedad W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-01T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Granad. Tenerife W · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Primera División Femenina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona W | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 18 |
| 2 | Real Madrid W | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 |
| 3 | Athletic Club W | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Madrid CFF W | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 13 |
| 5 | Atletico Madrid W | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Granad. Tenerife W | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Eibar W | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Granada | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Espanyol W | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Deportivo de La Coruña W | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad W | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | FC Levante Badalona W | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Sevilla W | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Deportivo Alavés W | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 | Edf Logrono W | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Valencia W | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -10 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 68.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.