· Analysis updated 15:51 UTC
Frigg Oslo FK W vs TIL 2020 W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.65 expected goals for Frigg Oslo FK W and 2.63 for TIL 2020 W, a combined total of 3.28. That distribution gives TIL 2020 W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 80%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 80% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
TIL 2020 W win
79.6% probability
Expected goals
0.65 – 2.63
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Frigg Oslo FK W home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
TIL 2020 W away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates TIL 2020 W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 80%, against 7% / 14% / 80% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.65 goals for Frigg Oslo FK W and 2.63 for TIL 2020 W, a combined 3.28 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
20%
Double chance 12
87%
Double chance X2
93%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–213.0%
- 0–311.4%
- 0–19.9%
- 1–28.5%
- 0–47.5%
Recent form
Frigg Oslo FK W
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Fyllingsdalen W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-30T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Arna-Bjørnar W · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Viking FK W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-13T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Åsane W · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-30T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Bryne W · 1-0 (W)
TIL 2020 W
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Start W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Arna-Bjørnar W · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Grei W · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kolbotn W · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-05T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Klepp W · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Division Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Start W | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Viking FK W | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 19 |
| 3 | Åsane W | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | TIL 2020 W | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 17 |
| 5 | Arna-Bjørnar W | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Bryne W | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 | Odd W | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Kolbotn W | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Grei W | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Klepp W | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -15 | 6 |
| 11 | Frigg Oslo FK W | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -17 | 3 |
| 12 | Fyllingsdalen W | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -18 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is TIL 2020 W win, at 79.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
A 80% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.