Italy · Serie A · Regular Season - 716:30

16:30 UTC

Sunday, 18 October 2026

Stadio Benito Stirpe · Analysis updated 07:05 UTC

Frosinone vs Sassuolo Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Frosinone vs Sassuolo in the Serie A: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.

Model pick

Frosinone or Draw

69.8% probability

Baseline estimate10/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Frosinone win44%
Draw26%
Sassuolo win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Frosinone home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 meetings.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Frosinone to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Frosinone and 1.18 for Sassuolo, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Frosinone

  • 2026-08-09T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Lazio · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Benevento · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-07-29T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Sambenedettese · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-26T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Ascoli · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-22T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Frosinone U20 · 1-0 (W)

Sassuolo

    Head-to-head

    • 2025-05-13T18:30:00.000Z · Frosinone 1-0 Sassuolo (Serie B)
    • 2024-12-14T14:00:00.000Z · Frosinone 1-2 Sassuolo (Serie B)
    • 2024-03-09T14:00:00.000Z · Frosinone 0-1 Sassuolo (Serie A)
    • 2023-09-17T13:00:00.000Z · Frosinone 4-2 Sassuolo (Serie A)
    • 2019-05-05T13:00:00.000Z · Frosinone 2-2 Sassuolo (Serie A)
    • 2018-12-16T14:00:00.000Z · Frosinone 0-2 Sassuolo (Serie A)
    • 2016-05-08T13:00:00.000Z · Frosinone 0-1 Sassuolo (Serie A)
    • 2016-01-06T14:00:00.000Z · Frosinone 2-2 Sassuolo (Serie A)
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Atalanta000000
    2Bologna000000
    3Cagliari000000
    4Como000000
    5Fiorentina000000
    6Frosinone000000
    7Genoa000000
    8Inter000000
    9Juventus000000
    10Lazio000000
    11Lecce000000
    12AC Milan000000
    13Monza000000
    14Napoli000000
    15Parma000000
    16AS Roma000000
    17Sassuolo000000
    18Torino000000
    19Udinese000000
    20Venezia000000

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.