Switzerland · Super League · Matchweek 414:30

14:30 UTC

Sunday, 23 August 2026

FC SionWWL

Letzigrund Stadion · Analysis updated 09:08 UTC

Grasshoppers vs FC Sion Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.79 expected goals for Grasshoppers and 2.19 for FC Sion, a combined total of 3.98. That distribution gives FC Sion the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

FC Sion win

47.4% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.79 – 2.19

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Grasshoppers win32%
Draw20%
FC Sion win47%

Double chance 1X

53%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

68%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals76%
Over 3.5 goals56%
Both teams to score74%

Correct score

  • 1–28.0%
  • 1–17.3%
  • 2–27.2%
  • 2–16.6%
  • 1–35.8%

Why the model likes this

  • FC Sion away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates FC Sion to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 32% / 20% / 47% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.79 goals for Grasshoppers and 2.19 for FC Sion, a combined 3.98 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 76% and both teams to score at 74%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Recent form

Grasshoppers

  • 2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Regensdorf · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Servette FC · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-02T14:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Lugano · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-07-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Lausanne · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-18T14:30:00.000Z · A vs SCR Altach · 1-3 (L)

FC Sion

  • 2026-08-13T18:15:00.000Z · H vs FC Noah · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-09T14:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Vaduz · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-06T16:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Noah · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-02T14:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Luzern · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-30T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Bate Borisov · 4-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Super League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Lugano330099
2BSC Young Boys321087
3FC ST. Gallen321027
4FC Sion320126
5FC Basel 1893320126
6Lausanne312015
7Servette FC3102-13
8FC Zurich3102-53
9FC Thun3102-63
10Grasshoppers3012-41
11FC Luzern3012-51
12FC Vaduz3003-30

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.