· Analysis updated 11:01 UTC
Hannover 96 U19 vs Paderborn U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.68 expected goals for Hannover 96 U19 and 1.33 for Paderborn U19, a combined total of 4.00. That distribution gives Hannover 96 U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Hannover 96 U19 win
66.1% probability
Expected goals
2.68 – 1.33
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hannover 96 U19 home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Paderborn U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hannover 96 U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 66%, against 66% / 17% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.68 goals for Hannover 96 U19 and 1.33 for Paderborn U19, a combined 4.00 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
34%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.7%
- 3–17.7%
- 2–06.6%
- 1–16.5%
- 3–05.8%
Recent form
Hannover 96 U19
- 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV U19 · 6-5 (W)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Meppen U19 · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-06T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-30T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Berliner U19 · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Wolfsburg U19 · 4-2 (W)
Paderborn U19
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Havelse U19 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Meppen U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-30T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertha BSC U19 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Hannover 96 U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Wolfsburg U19 · 1-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hannover 96 U19 win, at 66.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.