Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.15 expected goals for Hapoel Petah Tikva and 1.93 for Maccabi Tel Aviv, a combined total of 3.08. That distribution gives Maccabi Tel Aviv the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Maccabi Tel Aviv win

55.4% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.15 – 1.93

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Hapoel Petah Tikva win23%

Draw22%

Maccabi Tel Aviv win55%

Double chance 1X

45%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

78%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%

Over 2.5 goals59%

Over 3.5 goals37%

Both teams to score58%

Correct score

1–110.2%
1–29.8%
0–18.9%
0–28.6%
1–36.3%

Why the model likes this

Hapoel Petah Tikva home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Maccabi Tel Aviv away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Maccabi Tel Aviv to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 23% / 22% / 55% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.15 goals for Hapoel Petah Tikva and 1.93 for Maccabi Tel Aviv, a combined 3.08 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Hapoel Petah Tikva

2026-08-15T17:15:00.000Z · A vs Bnei Sakhnin · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Hapoel Katamon · 1-3 (L)
2026-08-05T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Maccabi Netanya · 0-2 (L)
2026-07-29T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Hapoel Ramat Gan · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-25T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Maccabi Petah Tikva · 1-0 (W)

Maccabi Tel Aviv

2026-08-13T18:00:00.000Z · A vs CSKA Sofia · 3-1 (W)
2026-08-06T16:00:00.000Z · H vs CSKA Sofia · 0-3 (L)
2026-07-30T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Sheriff Tiraspol · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-23T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Sheriff Tiraspol · 5-0 (W)
2026-07-16T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Hapoel Beer Sheva · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Ligat Ha'al table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Beitar Jerusalem	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Bnei Sakhnin	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Maccabi Haifa	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Maccabi Tel Aviv	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Maccabi Petah Tikva	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Hapoel Tel Aviv	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Maccabi Netanya	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Ironi Kiryat Shmona	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Hapoel Beer Sheva	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Hapoel Petah Tikva	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Hapoel Ramat Gan	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Hapoel Haifa	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Ironi Tiberias	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Hapoel Katamon	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.