· Analysis updated 16:36 UTC
Heidenheim U19 vs Ulm U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.08 expected goals for Heidenheim U19 and 0.75 for Ulm U19, a combined total of 3.83. That distribution gives Heidenheim U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 83%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 83% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Heidenheim U19 win
83.0% probability
Expected goals
3.08 – 0.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Heidenheim U19 home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Ulm U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 5 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
94%
Double chance 12
89%
Double chance X2
17%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–010.6%
- 2–010.3%
- 4–08.1%
- 3–17.9%
- 2–17.7%
Recent form
Heidenheim U19
- 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · H vs 1860 München U19 · 6-4 (W)
- 2026-08-23T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandhausen U19 · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-08-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgarter K'rs U19 · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Ulm U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-09T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Karlsruher SC U19 · 1-0 (W)
Ulm U19
- 2026-10-25T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Heidenheim U19 · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sandhausen U19 · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Stuttgarter K'rs U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Karlsruher SC U19 · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-15T09:30:00.000Z · Heidenheim U19 3-1 Ulm U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2022-04-09T14:30:00.000Z · Heidenheim U19 2-3 Ulm U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2020-10-24T09:00:00.000Z · Heidenheim U19 3-1 Ulm U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2020-02-16T12:00:00.000Z · Heidenheim U19 2-1 Ulm U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2019-08-24T11:00:00.000Z · Heidenheim U19 1-1 Ulm U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Heidenheim U19 win, at 83.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.
A 83% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.