Stadion Suche Stawy · Analysis updated 15:07 UTC
Hutnik Kraków vs Resovia Rzeszów Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.33 expected goals for Hutnik Kraków and 0.98 for Resovia Rzeszów, a combined total of 2.30. That distribution gives Hutnik Kraków the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 40% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
72.5% probability
Expected goals
1.33 – 0.98
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hutnik Kraków home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Resovia Rzeszów away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hutnik Kraków to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 28% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.33 goals for Hutnik Kraków and 0.98 for Resovia Rzeszów, a combined 2.30 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
73%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
55%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.3%
- 1–113.0%
- 0–010.0%
- 0–19.8%
- 2–08.8%
Recent form
Hutnik Kraków
- 2026-10-17T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Chojniczanka Chojnice · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Sokół Kleczew · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:15:00.000Z · H vs Tychy 71 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Śląsk Wrocław II · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:15:00.000Z · H vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz · 1-1 (D)
Resovia Rzeszów
- 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sokół Kleczew · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-12T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Olimpia Grudziądz · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Avia Świdnik · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Stal Stalowa Wola · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-11T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Lechia Zielona Góra · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
II Liga - East table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Znicz Pruszków | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 29 |
| 2 | Tychy 71 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 26 |
| 3 | Górnik Łęczna | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 23 |
| 4 | Olimpia Grudziądz | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 22 |
| 5 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 |
| 6 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 19 |
| 9 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 18 |
| 10 | Hutnik Kraków | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Chojniczanka Chojnice | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 18 |
| 12 | Avia Świdnik | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 17 |
| 13 | Legia Warszawa II | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 16 |
| 14 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Sokół Kleczew | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -11 | 12 |
| 16 | Śląsk Wrocław II | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Świt Skolwin | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -16 | 9 |
| 18 | Resovia Rzeszów | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 72.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 40%.
A 73% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.