· Referee M. Araya Cruz · Analysis updated 06:38 UTC
Inter San Carlos vs Perez Zeledon Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.43 expected goals for Inter San Carlos and 1.03 for Perez Zeledon, a combined total of 2.45. That distribution gives Inter San Carlos the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Inter San Carlos win
46.2% probability
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.03
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Inter San Carlos home form
8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Perez Zeledon away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Inter San Carlos to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 27% / 27% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.43 goals for Inter San Carlos and 1.03 for Perez Zeledon, a combined 2.45 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
73%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.6%
- 1–012.3%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.8%
- 2–08.8%
Recent form
Inter San Carlos
- 2026-09-20T23:00:00.000Z · A vs LD Alajuelense · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-09-12T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Puntarenas FC · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T02:00:00.000Z · A vs Escorpiones Belén · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T02:00:00.000Z · A vs Sporting San Jose · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-23T21:00:00.000Z · H vs Deportivo Saprissa · 1-0 (W)
Perez Zeledon
- 2026-10-18T22:00:00.000Z · H vs CS Herediano · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-14T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Escorpiones Belén · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-10T21:00:00.000Z · A vs Inter San Carlos · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T02:00:00.000Z · H vs Sporting San Jose · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T02:00:00.000Z · H vs San Carlos · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Primera División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | CS Cartagines | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Sporting San Jose | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 21 |
| 4 | LD Alajuelense | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | San Carlos | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 19 |
| 6 | Inter San Carlos | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 18 |
| 7 | Puntarenas FC | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 15 |
| 8 | CS Herediano | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -4 | 11 |
| 9 | Escorpiones Belén | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 10 |
| 10 | Perez Zeledon | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 9 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Inter San Carlos win, at 46.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.