· Analysis updated 19:36 UTC
Køge W vs Brøndby W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.88 expected goals for Køge W and 1.49 for Brøndby W, a combined total of 3.36. That distribution gives Køge W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Køge W win
47.0% probability
Expected goals
1.88 – 1.49
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Køge W home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Brøndby W away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
53%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.7%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–27.2%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–06.5%
Recent form
Køge W
- 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · A vs KoldingQ W · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-20T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Brøndby W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Nordsjælland W · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-01T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Servette Chênois W · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs KoldingQ W · 4-1 (W)
Brøndby W
- 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Midtjylland W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-20T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Køge W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Copenhagen W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-30T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Sporting CP W · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs ASA Aarhus W · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-19T17:00:00.000Z · Køge W 2-1 Brøndby W (Kvindeliga)
- 2026-05-09T14:00:00.000Z · Køge W 0-1 Brøndby W (Kvindeliga)
- 2026-03-21T13:00:00.000Z · Køge W 0-0 Brøndby W (Kvindeliga)
- 2025-11-08T14:00:00.000Z · Køge W 1-1 Brøndby W (Kvindeliga)
- 2025-08-23T14:00:00.000Z · Køge W 3-2 Brøndby W (Kvindeliga)
- 2025-05-23T17:00:00.000Z · Køge W 0-0 Brøndby W (Kvindeliga)
- 2025-03-15T12:00:00.000Z · Køge W 3-1 Brøndby W (Kvindeliga)
- 2024-11-10T15:00:00.000Z · Køge W 0-1 Brøndby W (Kvindeliga)
- 2024-08-25T12:30:00.000Z · Køge W 0-1 Brøndby W (Kvindeliga)
- 2024-05-11T11:00:00.000Z · Køge W 2-0 Brøndby W (Kvindeliga)
Kvindeliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Køge W | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 29 |
| 2 | Nordsjælland W | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 22 |
| 3 | Brøndby W | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 21 |
| 4 | Fortuna Hjørring W | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 21 |
| 5 | Midtjylland W | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 21 |
| 6 | ASA Aarhus W | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 19 |
| 7 | KoldingQ W | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 13 |
| 8 | Odense Q W | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 13 |
| 9 | FC Copenhagen W | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | -24 | 6 |
| 10 | AGF W | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | -19 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Køge W win, at 47.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.