Katwijk vs Sparta Rotterdam II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.17 expected goals for Katwijk and 1.83 for Sparta Rotterdam II, a combined total of 4.00. That distribution gives Katwijk the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws roughly 54% of the time.

Model pick

Katwijk to Win

46.5% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

2.17 – 1.83

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Katwijk win47%

Draw20%

Sparta Rotterdam II win33%

Double chance 1X

67%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

54%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%

Over 2.5 goals76%

Over 3.5 goals57%

Both teams to score74%

Correct score

2–17.9%
1–17.3%
2–27.2%
1–26.6%
3–15.7%

Why the model likes this

Sparta Rotterdam II away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Katwijk to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 20% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.17 goals for Katwijk and 1.83 for Sparta Rotterdam II, a combined 4.00 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 76% and both teams to score at 74%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Recent form

Katwijk

Sparta Rotterdam II

2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs ROHDA Raalte · 6-1 (W)
2026-08-08T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Excelsior Maassluis · 2-4 (L)
2026-07-25T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Jong AZ · 2-3 (L)
2026-07-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Spakenburg · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-11T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Katwijk · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.