Slavutych-Arena · Analysis updated 23:50 UTC
Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Lozova Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.42 expected goals for Metalurh Zaporizhya and 0.97 for Lozova, a combined total of 2.39. That distribution gives Metalurh Zaporizhya the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 43% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws roughly 52% of the time.
Model pick
Metalurh Zaporizhya to Win
47.6% probability
Expected goals
1.42 – 0.97
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
74%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
52%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.1%
- 1–112.6%
- 2–09.3%
- 0–09.2%
- 2–19.0%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Metalurh Zaporizhya to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 27% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.42 goals for Metalurh Zaporizhya and 0.97 for Lozova, a combined 2.39 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 43% and both teams to score at 47%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Model confidence
Metalurh Zaporizhya to Win is the headline pick at 48% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Metalurh Zaporizhya
Lozova
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Oleksandria II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-08T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Trostianets · 0-2 (L)
- 2025-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Bukovyna · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Druha Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bratslav Vinnytsia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Nyva Ternopil II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 6 |
| 3 | Dnister Zalishchyky | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Nyva Vinnytsya | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Ruh Lviv | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Dinaz Vyshhorod | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4 | 2 |
| 8 | Skala 1911 Stryi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 9 | Vilkhivtsi | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 1 | Oleksandria II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | SC Poltava 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Penuel | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Karbon Cherkasy | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Trostianets | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Metalurh Zaporizhya | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Rebel | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Lozova | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 9 | Atlet | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.