Poland · Central Youth League · Matchweek 1009:00

2 – 0

Sunday, 11 October 2026

· Analysis updated 20:52 UTC

Miedź Legnica U19 vs Talent Warszawa U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.23 expected goals for Miedź Legnica U19 and 1.10 for Talent Warszawa U19, a combined total of 3.33. That distribution gives Miedź Legnica U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Miedź Legnica U19 win

62.8% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.23 – 1.10

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Miedź Legnica U19 home form

    15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Miedź Legnica U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 20% / 18% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.23 goals for Miedź Legnica U19 and 1.10 for Talent Warszawa U19, a combined 3.33 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 65% and both teams to score at 60%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Match result (1X2)

Miedź Legnica U19 win63%
Draw20%
Talent Warszawa U19 win18%

Double chance 1X

82%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

37%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals43%
Both teams to score60%

Correct score

  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–08.9%
  • 1–18.8%
  • 1–08.0%
  • 3–17.3%

Recent form

Miedź Legnica U19

  • 2026-10-24T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Stal Rzeszów U19 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Górnik Zabrze U19 · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-11T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Talent Warszawa U19 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Lech Poznań U19 · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Korona Kielce U19 · 6-1 (W)

Talent Warszawa U19

  • 2026-08-16T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Polonia Warszawa U19 · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Arkonia U19 · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Central Youth League table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Miedź Legnica U19 win, at 62.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.