Canada · Northern Super League · Regular season20:00

10

Sunday, 12 July 2026

· Analysis updated 05:54 UTC

Montreal Roses W vs Halifax Tides W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.81 expected goals for Montreal Roses W and 1.14 for Halifax Tides W, a combined total of 2.95. That distribution gives Montreal Roses W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws roughly 47% of the time.

Model pick

Montreal Roses W to Win

53.3% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.81 – 1.14

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Montreal Roses W win53%
Draw23%
Halifax Tides W win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

47%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Both teams to score57%

Correct score

  • 1–110.8%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–09.5%
  • 2–08.6%
  • 1–26.1%

Why the model likes this

  • Montreal Roses W home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Montreal Roses W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 23% / 24% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.81 goals for Montreal Roses W and 1.14 for Halifax Tides W, a combined 2.95 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 57% and both teams to score at 57%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

Montreal Roses W

  • 2026-08-07T23:10:00.000Z · H vs Halifax Tides W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-07-30T02:00:00.000Z · A vs Vancouver Rise W · 4-3 (W)
  • 2026-07-23T23:00:00.000Z · H vs AFC Toronto W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-12T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Halifax Tides W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-04T19:30:00.000Z · H vs Vancouver Rise W · 5-1 (W)

Halifax Tides W

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Northern Super League table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Montreal Roses W6411713
    2Ottawa Rapid W6402712
    3Vancouver Rise W6303-69
    4AFC Toronto W521237
    5Halifax Tides W621327
    6Calgary Wild W5014-131

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.