Napoli vs Torino Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.21 expected goals for Napoli and 0.86 for Torino, a combined total of 3.07. That distribution gives Napoli the largest share of the 1X2 market at 68%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 68% favourite still loses or draws roughly 32% of the time.

Model pick

Napoli to Win

68.0% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.21 – 0.86

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Napoli win68%

Draw19%

Torino win13%

Double chance 1X

87%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

32%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%

Over 2.5 goals59%

Over 3.5 goals37%

Both teams to score52%

Correct score

2–011.3%
1–010.2%
2–19.8%
1–18.8%
3–08.3%

Why the model likes this

Napoli home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Napoli to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 68%, against 68% / 19% / 13% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.21 goals for Napoli and 0.86 for Torino, a combined 3.07 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 59% and both teams to score at 52%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

Napoli

2026-08-12T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Aris Thessalonikis · 6-2 (W)
2026-08-08T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Celta Vigo · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-05T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Osasuna · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-26T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Carrarese · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-22T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Arezzo · 1-3 (L)

Torino

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Serie A table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Cagliari	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Como	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Frosinone	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lazio	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Lecce	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Monza	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Parma	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	AS Roma	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Sassuolo	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Torino	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Udinese	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Venezia	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.