Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · Group 2 - 615:00

15:00 UTC

Sunday, 11 October 2026

· Analysis updated 10:11 UTC

Náxara vs Peña Sport Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Náxara vs Peña Sport in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.8% probability

Baseline estimate10/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Náxara win44%
Draw26%
Peña Sport win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Náxara home form

    7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Náxara to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Náxara and 1.18 for Peña Sport, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Why this is a baseline estimate

    No fixture-specific data was available for Náxara or Peña Sport yet, so these numbers are a Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 scoring average with standard home advantage rather than a rated model pick. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and are replaced automatically as team data arrives.

Recent form

Náxara

  • 2026-08-14T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Haro Deportivo · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-02T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Eibar II · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-04-26T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Beasain · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-04-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Alfaro · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-04-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs SD Logroñés · 2-0 (W)

Peña Sport

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Barcelona B000000
    2Terrassa000000
    3Osasuna II000000
    4Espanyol II000000
    5Reddis000000
    6Peña Sport000000
    7Barbastro000000
    8Utebo000000
    9Tudelano000000
    10Olot000000
    11Náxara000000
    12SD Logroñés000000
    13Arnedo000000
    14Ebro000000
    15Girona II000000
    16UD Logroñés II000000
    17Manresa000000
    18Castellón II000000

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.