Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Sion Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.48 expected goals for Neuchatel Xamax FC and 3.38 for FC Sion, a combined total of 5.85. That distribution gives FC Sion the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 92% for over 2.5 goals and 88% for both teams to score, with 2–3 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

FC Sion win

56.0% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.48 – 3.38

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Neuchatel Xamax FC win28%

Draw16%

FC Sion win56%

Double chance 1X

44%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

72%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals97%

Over 2.5 goals92%

Over 3.5 goals83%

Both teams to score88%

Correct score

2–35.7%
2–25.0%
2–44.8%
3–34.7%
1–34.6%

Why the model likes this

FC Sion away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FC Sion to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 28% / 16% / 56% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.48 goals for Neuchatel Xamax FC and 3.38 for FC Sion, a combined 5.85 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 92% and both teams to score at 88%, with 2–3 the single most likely scoreline at 6%.

Recent form

Neuchatel Xamax FC

FC Sion

2026-08-13T18:15:00.000Z · H vs FC Noah · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-09T14:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Vaduz · 3-2 (W)
2026-08-06T16:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Noah · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-02T14:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Luzern · 3-0 (W)
2026-07-30T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Bate Borisov · 4-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.