Serbia · Prva Liga · Matchweek 1412:00
OFK VršacWLDLW

1 – 0

Friday, 16 October 2026

TeleoptikLWWLL

Gradski stadion Vrsac · Analysis updated 14:17 UTC

OFK Vršac vs Teleoptik Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.66 expected goals for OFK Vršac and 0.88 for Teleoptik, a combined total of 2.54. That distribution gives OFK Vršac the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

OFK Vršac win

55.8% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.66 – 0.88

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • OFK Vršac home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Teleoptik away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates OFK Vršac to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 24% / 20% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.66 goals for OFK Vršac and 0.88 for Teleoptik, a combined 2.54 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

OFK Vršac win56%
Draw24%
Teleoptik win20%

Double chance 1X

80%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

44%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals72%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Over 3.5 goals25%
Both teams to score47%

Correct score

  • 1–013.1%
  • 1–111.5%
  • 2–010.9%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 0–07.9%

Recent form

OFK Vršac

  • 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Semendrija 1924 · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-21T14:00:00.000Z · H vs OFK Bor 1919 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Napredak · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Grafičar · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV · 0-2 (L)

Teleoptik

  • 2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z · A vs OFK Vršac · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Metalac GM · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs OFK Bor 1919 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-28T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Grafičar · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Borac Cacak · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prva Liga table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1TSC Backa Topola148601830
2Borac Cacak14923729
3Javor147611827
4Semendrija 192414743725
5OFK Vršac14815425
6Napredak14635-121
7FK Vozdovac14545219
8Loznica14473-219
9Dubočica14545-219
10Metalac GM14536-318
11FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV14446-616
12Naftagas14365415
13Teleoptik14347-713
14Grafičar14329-911
15Jedinstvo Ub14329-1011
16OFK Bor 1919142210-208

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is OFK Vršac win, at 55.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.

A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.