Stadion Kantrida · Analysis updated 06:51 UTC
Opatija vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.95 expected goals for Opatija and 1.15 for Bsk Bijelo Brdo, a combined total of 2.10. That distribution gives Bsk Bijelo Brdo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 35% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
70.0% probability
Expected goals
0.95 – 1.15
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Opatija home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Bsk Bijelo Brdo away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
70%
Double chance X2
70%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–114.1%
- 1–113.4%
- 0–012.2%
- 1–011.6%
- 0–28.1%
Recent form
Opatija
- 2026-10-09T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Kustosija · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Vukovar · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T12:45:00.000Z · A vs Orijent 1919 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-11T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-06T13:45:00.000Z · A vs Dubrava Zagreb · 1-2 (L)
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
- 2026-10-09T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Karlovac 1919 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T09:00:00.000Z · A vs NK Osijek · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Dubrava Zagreb · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Hrvace · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-16T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Kustosija · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-11T13:30:00.000Z · Opatija 2-3 Bsk Bijelo Brdo (First NL)
- 2026-05-02T15:00:00.000Z · Opatija 0-0 Bsk Bijelo Brdo (First NL)
- 2025-11-05T13:00:00.000Z · Opatija 0-3 Bsk Bijelo Brdo (First NL)
- 2025-08-16T14:15:00.000Z · Opatija 0-4 Bsk Bijelo Brdo (First NL)
- 2025-03-29T14:30:00.000Z · Opatija 1-0 Bsk Bijelo Brdo (First NL)
- 2024-11-15T13:00:00.000Z · Opatija 5-0 Bsk Bijelo Brdo (First NL)
- 2024-09-07T15:00:00.000Z · Opatija 2-0 Bsk Bijelo Brdo (First NL)
- 2022-03-06T14:30:00.000Z · Opatija 1-4 Bsk Bijelo Brdo (First NL)
- 2021-09-10T15:00:00.000Z · Opatija 0-0 Bsk Bijelo Brdo (First NL)
- 2021-05-29T15:30:00.000Z · Opatija 2-2 Bsk Bijelo Brdo (First NL)
First NL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jadran LP | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 |
| 2 | Croatia Zmijavci | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | HNK Cibalia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Bsk Bijelo Brdo | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Segesta Sisak | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 6 | Mladost Ždralovi | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Sesvete | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Dinamo Zagreb U21 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Dugopolje | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Dubrava Zagreb | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Karlovac 1919 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Orijent 1919 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Vukovar | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Opatija | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Hrvace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Kustosija | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 70.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 42% and over 2.5 goals at 35%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.