Quevilly vs Gobelins Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.39 expected goals for Quevilly and 1.30 for Gobelins, a combined total of 2.69. That distribution gives Quevilly the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

65.2% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.39 – 1.30

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Quevilly win39%

Draw26%

Gobelins win35%

Double chance 1X

65%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

61%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals75%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score55%

Correct score

1–112.3%
1–09.5%
0–18.8%
2–18.5%
1–28.0%

Why the model likes this

Quevilly home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Gobelins away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Quevilly to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 26% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.39 goals for Quevilly and 1.30 for Gobelins, a combined 2.69 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Quevilly

2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Concarneau · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-07T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Gobelins · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Oissel · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Avranches · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-22T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Clermont Foot · 1-1 (D)

Gobelins

2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Villefranche · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-07T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Quevilly · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-28T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Creteil · 2-2 (D)
2026-07-18T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Orleans · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Caen · 4-3 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.