RB Bragantino vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.11 expected goals for RB Bragantino and 1.03 for Atletico Paranaense, a combined total of 2.14. That distribution gives RB Bragantino the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 36% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

66.9% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.11 – 1.03

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

RB Bragantino win37%

Draw30%

Atletico Paranaense win33%

Double chance 1X

67%

Double chance 12

70%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals63%

Over 2.5 goals36%

Over 3.5 goals17%

Both teams to score43%

Correct score

1–113.5%
1–013.1%
0–112.1%
0–011.8%
2–17.5%

Why the model likes this

RB Bragantino home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Atletico Paranaense away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates RB Bragantino to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 37% / 30% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.11 goals for RB Bragantino and 1.03 for Atletico Paranaense, a combined 2.14 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Recent form

RB Bragantino

2026-08-15T21:30:00.000Z · A vs Atletico Paranaense · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-12T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Atletico-MG · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-09T21:30:00.000Z · H vs Corinthians · 0-2 (L)
2026-07-30T00:30:00.000Z · H vs Sporting Cristal · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-26T21:30:00.000Z · H vs Coritiba · 0-0 (D)

Atletico Paranaense

2026-08-15T21:30:00.000Z · H vs RB Bragantino · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-09T21:30:00.000Z · A vs Santos · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-06T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Vitoria · 0-4 (L)
2026-08-04T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Vitoria · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-30T22:30:00.000Z · A vs Corinthians · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.