Brazil · Serie A · Regular Season - 1321:30
RemoDLWLW

01

Saturday, 25 April 2026

CruzeiroWWLWD

Estadio Evandro Almeida · Referee W. Sampaio · Analysis updated 03:27 UTC

Remo vs Cruzeiro Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.70 expected goals for Remo and 1.35 for Cruzeiro, a combined total of 3.05. That distribution gives Remo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws roughly 54% of the time.

Model pick

Remo to Win

45.8% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.70 – 1.35

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Remo win46%
Draw24%
Cruzeiro win31%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

54%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams to score61%

Correct score

  • 1–110.9%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 1–08.1%
  • 1–27.3%
  • 2–06.8%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Remo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 24% / 31% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.70 goals for Remo and 1.35 for Cruzeiro, a combined 3.05 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 59% and both teams to score at 61%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

  • Model confidence

    Remo to Win is the headline pick at 46% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Remo

    Cruzeiro

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

      #TeamPWDLGDPts
      1Palmeiras2314632148
      2Flamengo2112632142
      3Atletico Paranaense2312561141
      4Fluminense231085638
      5Cruzeiro22967-133
      6Bahia22895433
      7RB Bragantino22958432
      8Corinthians22886432
      9Botafogo21867230
      10Coritiba22868-230
      11Atletico-MG21858029
      12Sao Paulo21759126
      13Vitoria227510-1126
      14Gremio21678-325
      15Mirassol216510-623
      16Internacional22589-423
      17Santos21579-622
      18Vasco DA Gama21579-822
      19Remo225710-1022
      20Chapecoense-sc211713-2310

      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.