Serie A Predictions & Statistics

Model probabilities, fixtures and standings for the Serie A.

Matches

299

Goals/game

2.68

BTTS

60%

Over 2.5

52%

Home wins

47%

Draws

28%

What the season data says

Completed matches this season average 2.68 goals, and 52% of them have gone over 2.5. Both teams have scored in 60% of matches.

Home sides have won 47% of those matches, 28% finished level and 25% went to the visitors.

Strongest recent form in the table: Flamengo, Palmeiras, Atletico-MG.

Across the 10 upcoming fixtures listed below, the model's leading selection is a home win in 5, a draw in 0 and an away win in 5.

All figures are calculated from this competition's confirmed results and the model's current output for its scheduled fixtures.

Fixtures & predictions

Matchweek 31

16 OCT – 19 OCT

10 fixtures in this round. The model favours the home side in 5 matches, projects 2.8 goals per game and sees both teams to score above 50% in 10. Highest-confidence call: Bahia vs Flamengo — Flamengo or Draw (69%).

Brazil · Serie A

10 fixtures

Model pick

Home/Draw

67%

1X2 42/25/33 · BTTS 57% · O2.5 53%

BTTS 57% · O2.5 53%

Model pick

Botafogo win

50%

1X2 50/24/26 · BTTS 56% · O2.5 54%

BTTS 56% · O2.5 54%

Model pick

Atletico-MG win

61%

1X2 61/21/19 · BTTS 58% · O2.5 62%

BTTS 58% · O2.5 62%

Model pick

Draw/Away

67%

1X2 33/25/41 · BTTS 56% · O2.5 53%

BTTS 56% · O2.5 53%

Model pick

Draw/Away

67%

1X2 34/27/39 · BTTS 50% · O2.5 45%

BTTS 50% · O2.5 45%

Model pick

Home/Draw

62%

1X2 39/24/38 · BTTS 63% · O2.5 60%

BTTS 63% · O2.5 60%

Model pick

Draw/Away

64%

1X2 36/25/39 · BTTS 58% · O2.5 54%

BTTS 58% · O2.5 54%

Model pick

Draw/Away

69%

1X2 31/25/44 · BTTS 57% · O2.5 54%

BTTS 57% · O2.5 54%

Model pick

Home/Draw

64%

1X2 37/27/36 · BTTS 51% · O2.5 46%

BTTS 51% · O2.5 46%

Model pick

Draw/Away

66%

1X2 34/25/42 · BTTS 59% · O2.5 56%

Draw/Away66%

BTTS 59% · O2.5 56%

Last round results

Matchweek 30

10 OCT – 13 OCT

10 matches produced 28 goals, with 6 home wins, 3 draws and both teams scoring in 7.

Brazil · Serie A

10 fixtures

Vasco DA Gama0

Remo0

DWWWLDDLLL

Model pick

Vasco DA Gama win

58%

1X2 58/22/20 · BTTS 55% · O2.5 57%

BTTS 55% · O2.5 57%

Model pick

Home/Draw

70%

1X2 45/26/30 · BTTS 53% · O2.5 49%

BTTS 53% · O2.5 49%

Model pick

Home/Draw

62%

1X2 38/24/38 · BTTS 61% · O2.5 59%

BTTS 61% · O2.5 59%

Model pick

Palmeiras win

56%

1X2 56/27/17 · BTTS 38% · O2.5 36%

BTTS 38% · O2.5 36%

Model pick

Flamengo win

46%

1X2 46/24/30 · BTTS 60% · O2.5 58%

BTTS 60% · O2.5 58%

Model pick

Home/Draw

66%

1X2 40/26/34 · BTTS 54% · O2.5 50%

BTTS 54% · O2.5 50%

Model pick

Home/Draw

70%

1X2 45/25/30 · BTTS 56% · O2.5 53%

BTTS 56% · O2.5 53%

Model pick

Draw/Away

66%

1X2 34/23/43 · BTTS 64% · O2.5 62%

BTTS 64% · O2.5 62%

Model pick

Atletico Paranaense win

47%

1X2 31/22/47 · BTTS 68% · O2.5 69%

Atletico Paranaense win47%

BTTS 68% · O2.5 69%

RB Bragantino4

Cruzeiro2

WDLLDLWWLW

Model pick

Draw/Away

65%

1X2 35/25/40 · BTTS 58% · O2.5 55%

Draw/Away65%

BTTS 58% · O2.5 55%

Serie A Standings

Season 2026/27 · Standings data updated: 13 Oct 2026, 16:11 UTC

Serie A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	30	19	7	4	58	25	33	64
2	Palmeiras	30	18	9	3	52	22	30	63
3	Atletico Paranaense	30	15	8	7	49	35	14	53
4	Fluminense	30	14	9	7	48	37	11	51
5	Bahia	30	13	10	7	44	36	8	49
6	Cruzeiro	30	14	6	10	46	44	2	48
7	Atletico-MG	30	13	8	9	41	35	6	47
8	Santos	30	11	9	10	46	45	1	42
9	RB Bragantino	30	11	7	12	38	35	3	40
10	Sao Paulo	30	11	6	13	35	35	0	39
11	Coritiba	30	10	9	11	38	48	-10	39
12	Vitoria	30	10	6	14	33	44	-11	36
13	Botafogo	30	9	9	12	43	48	-5	36
14	Vasco DA Gama	29	9	8	12	36	42	-6	35
15	Mirassol	30	8	9	13	34	44	-10	33
16	Corinthians	30	8	8	14	31	38	-7	32
17	Internacional	30	7	11	12	33	38	-5	32
18	Gremio	30	7	10	13	32	40	-8	31
19	Remo	30	5	10	15	33	48	-15	25
20	Chapecoense-sc	29	3	9	17	30	61	-31	18