Serie A Predictions & Statistics

Model probabilities, fixtures and standings for the Serie A.

Matches

215

Goals/game

2.57

BTTS

57%

Over 2.5

48%

Home wins

46%

Draws

29%

Fixtures & predictions

Matchweek 23

15 AUG – 17 AUG

10 fixtures in this round. The model favours the home side in 6 matches, projects 2.4 goals per game and sees both teams to score above 50% in 4. Highest-confidence call: Vitoria vs Botafogo — Botafogo or Draw (68%).

Brazil · Serie A

10 fixtures

Model pick

Palmeiras to Win

47% probability

BTTS 45%

O2.5 40%

1X2 25/28/47

Pick: Palmeiras to Win47%

Model pick

Atletico Paranaense to Win

48% probability

BTTS 39%

O2.5 33%

1X2 48/29/23

Pick: Atletico Paranaense to Win48%

Model pick

Sao Paulo to Win

45% probability

BTTS 49%

O2.5 44%

1X2 45/27/28

Pick: Sao Paulo to Win45%

Model pick

Bahia to Win

54% probability

BTTS 49%

O2.5 48%

1X2 21/25/54

Pick: Bahia to Win54%

Model pick

Vasco DA Gama or Draw

63% probability

BTTS 55%

O2.5 51%

1X2 38/26/37

Pick: Vasco DA Gama or Draw63%

Model pick

Atletico-MG to Win

45% probability

BTTS 53%

O2.5 49%

1X2 45/26/29

Pick: Atletico-MG to Win45%

Model pick

Botafogo or Draw

68% probability

BTTS 45%

O2.5 39%

1X2 32/29/39

Pick: Botafogo or Draw68%

Model pick

Flamengo to Win

53% probability

BTTS 50%

O2.5 49%

1X2 22/25/53

Pick: Flamengo to Win53%

Model pick

Corinthians to Win

47% probability

BTTS 44%

O2.5 39%

1X2 47/28/25

Pick: Corinthians to Win47%

Model pick

Internacional to Win

47% probability

BTTS 51%

O2.5 47%

1X2 47/26/27

Pick: Internacional to Win47%

Last round results

Matchweek 22

8 AUG – 9 AUG

10 matches produced 22 goals, with 4 home wins, 4 draws and both teams scoring in 5.

Brazil · Serie A

10 fixtures

Gremio2

Sao Paulo1

WDLLWLDLLD

Model pick

Gremio or Draw

66% probability

BTTS 48%

O2.5 43%

1X2 38/28/34

Pick: Gremio or Draw66%

Remo2

Atletico-MG2

DLWLWDWDWL

Model pick

Atletico-MG or Draw

65% probability

BTTS 57%

O2.5 53%

1X2 35/25/40

Pick: Atletico-MG or Draw65%

Coritiba2

Chapecoense-sc1

WLDLLLDLLL

Model pick

Coritiba to Win

63% probability

BTTS 54%

O2.5 58%

1X2 63/21/17

Pick: Coritiba to Win63%

Botafogo1

Fluminense1

DWDWLDDDDD

Model pick

Botafogo or Draw

65% probability

BTTS 63%

O2.5 61%

1X2 42/24/35

Pick: Botafogo or Draw65%

Cruzeiro3

Mirassol1

WWLWDLWDWL

Model pick

Cruzeiro to Win

49% probability

BTTS 55%

O2.5 53%

1X2 49/24/27

Pick: Cruzeiro to Win49%

Bahia0

Vasco DA Gama0

DDDDWDDLLL

Model pick

Bahia to Win

54% probability

BTTS 49%

O2.5 48%

1X2 54/25/22

Pick: Bahia to Win54%

Palmeiras0

Internacional0

DWLWWDDLLL

Model pick

Palmeiras to Win

65% probability

BTTS 40%

O2.5 44%

1X2 65/22/13

Pick: Palmeiras to Win65%

Santos0

Atletico Paranaense2

LDLWLWDWWW

Model pick

Atletico Paranaense to Win

47% probability

BTTS 53%

O2.5 50%

1X2 28/25/47

Pick: Atletico Paranaense to Win47%

RB Bragantino0

Corinthians2

LDDWWWDDWW

Model pick

RB Bragantino or Draw

70% probability

BTTS 38%

O2.5 31%

1X2 39/31/30

Pick: RB Bragantino or Draw70%

Flamengo2

Vitoria0

WDDWWLLLDW

Model pick

Flamengo to Win

66% probability

BTTS 44%

O2.5 49%

1X2 66/21/13

Pick: Flamengo to Win66%

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras	22	14	6	2	38	16	22	48
2	Flamengo	21	12	6	3	39	18	21	42
3	Atletico Paranaense	22	12	4	6	30	19	11	40
4	Fluminense	22	9	8	5	31	26	5	35
5	Cruzeiro	22	9	6	7	30	31	-1	33
6	Bahia	22	8	9	5	29	25	4	33
7	Corinthians	22	8	8	6	24	20	4	32
8	RB Bragantino	21	9	4	8	26	22	4	31
9	Botafogo	21	8	6	7	35	33	2	30
10	Coritiba	22	8	6	8	27	29	-2	30
11	Atletico-MG	21	8	5	8	27	27	0	29
12	Sao Paulo	21	7	5	9	26	25	1	26
13	Vitoria	22	7	5	10	22	33	-11	26
14	Gremio	21	6	7	8	24	27	-3	25
15	Mirassol	21	6	5	10	24	30	-6	23
16	Internacional	22	5	8	9	23	27	-4	23
17	Santos	21	5	7	9	29	35	-6	22
18	Vasco DA Gama	21	5	7	9	23	31	-8	22
19	Remo	22	5	7	10	26	36	-10	22
20	Chapecoense-sc	21	1	7	13	20	43	-23	10