World · UEFA Europa Conference League · Qualifying18:00

31

Thursday, 30 July 2026

National Arena Toshe Proeski · Referee M. Rusz · Analysis updated 10:07 UTC

Shkendija vs Bravo Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.33 expected goals for Shkendija and 1.35 for Bravo, a combined total of 2.68. That distribution gives Bravo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Draw/Away

63.6% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.33 – 1.35

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Shkendija win36%
Draw26%
Bravo win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

64%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–112.3%
  • 0–19.3%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 1–28.3%
  • 2–18.2%

Why the model likes this

  • Bravo away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Bravo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 36% / 26% / 38% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.33 goals for Shkendija and 1.35 for Bravo, a combined 2.68 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Shkendija

    Bravo

    • 2026-08-16T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Koper · 0-0 (D)
    • 2026-08-09T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Brinje-Grosuplje · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-08-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Radomlje · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-07-30T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Shkendija · 1-3 (L)
    • 2026-07-26T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Nafta · 0-3 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.