· Analysis updated 11:07 UTC
Slask Wroclaw W vs GKS Katowice W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.83 expected goals for Slask Wroclaw W and 2.78 for GKS Katowice W, a combined total of 3.60. That distribution gives GKS Katowice W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 78%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 78% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
GKS Katowice W win
77.9% probability
Expected goals
0.83 – 2.78
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Slask Wroclaw W home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
GKS Katowice W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 6 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
22%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
92%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–210.5%
- 0–39.7%
- 1–28.7%
- 1–38.0%
- 0–17.6%
Recent form
Slask Wroclaw W
- 2026-10-17T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Sleza Wroclaw W · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-04T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Czarni Sosnowiec W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-27T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Lech Poznan W · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-30T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-22T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Pogon Szczecin W · 0-5 (L)
GKS Katowice W
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Górnik Łęczna W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Legia W · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sleza Wroclaw W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-16T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Czarni Sosnowiec W · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-08-08T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Lech Poznan W · 5-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-09T11:00:00.000Z · Slask Wroclaw W 1-2 GKS Katowice W (Ekstraliga Women)
- 2025-10-12T10:00:00.000Z · Slask Wroclaw W 0-1 GKS Katowice W (Ekstraliga Women)
- 2025-04-12T09:00:00.000Z · Slask Wroclaw W 0-3 GKS Katowice W (Ekstraliga Women)
- 2024-09-21T10:00:00.000Z · Slask Wroclaw W 0-3 GKS Katowice W (Ekstraliga Women)
- 2024-05-26T13:30:00.000Z · Slask Wroclaw W 1-2 GKS Katowice W (Ekstraliga Women)
- 2023-11-12T11:00:00.000Z · Slask Wroclaw W 2-2 GKS Katowice W (Ekstraliga Women)
Ekstraliga Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GKS Katowice W | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 19 |
| 2 | Górnik Łęczna W | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 |
| 3 | Pogon Szczecin W | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
| 4 | Czarni Sosnowiec W | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 14 |
| 5 | Akademia Piłkarska LG W | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Legia W | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 7 | UJ Krakow W | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 8 | Sleza Wroclaw W | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 9 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala W | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -8 | 7 |
| 10 | Lech Poznan W | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 11 | UKS Łódź W | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -7 | 6 |
| 12 | Slask Wroclaw W | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is GKS Katowice W win, at 77.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
A 78% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.